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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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World Finance 2021颁发
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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CFI.co于2020年颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2016最佳本土 客户服务
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中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
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Global Forex Awards颁赠
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FinTech Age Awards颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
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Global Brands Magazine 颁赠
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Online Money Awards 2022 颁发
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2015最佳金融交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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金融行业的佼佼者
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认证最优金牌级别
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2014年首届亚军
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖
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荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖
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CFI.co于2023年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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FX168于2020年12月颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2016最佳本土 客户服务
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中东和北非地区（MENA）增长最快的经纪商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Business Awards 2020
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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market analysis
【XM Market Analysis】--GBP/USD Analysis: Increasing Pressure Factors
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Analysis】--GBP/USD Analysis: Increasing Pressure Factors". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- Last week's selling of the pound sterling was the strongest.
- The GBP/USD pair's losses were the most prominent, as it plummeted to the support level of 1.2475, the lowest for the currency pair in 7 months before closing the trading stable around 1.2562.
- According to licensed trading companies' platforms, the Bank of England's vote to keep interest rates at 4.75%, which was narrower than expected, led to a wave of selling of the pound sterling.
Pressure factors on the British pound dollar
According to recent forex market trading, several pressure factors have formed on the sterling, as the hawkish statement by the US Federal Reserve helped reduce market expectations of the Bank of England cutting interest rates in February 2025 to less than 50%, but this was reflected after the Bank of England's statement. For its part, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England kept interest rates at 4.75%, which is in line with analysts' expectations.
However, there was a surprise in the vote, with the vote split 6-3 compared to the 8-1 expected. Dhingra, Ramsden and Taylor voted for a further 25bps cut. The majority cited significant uncertainty over the outlook for inflation and supply-side issues, particularly following the National Insurance increases. In this context, they wanted more time to assess developments and continued to support a gradual easing of policy. At the same time, there was no change in official guidance, with comments that “a gradual approach to unwinding monetary policy remains appropriate”.
According to BoE Governor Bailey, “With the increasing uncertainty in the economy, we cannot commit to a date or amount of rate cuts in 2025”.
Overall, the minority considered that policy was too restrictive and that a cut was warranted, especially with domestic and international growth risks tilted to the downside. They also considered that current policy would push inflation well below the 2% target. The BoE also noted that growth had been slightly weaker than expected and that there were risks from potential US tariffs.
The future of Bank of England policy
The pision in the voting in the last meeting of the Bank of England strengthened expectations of interest rate cuts in February, especially since one of the six members who voted in favour of fixed interest rates (possibly Bailey) seemed close to supporting the cut this time. Also, Traders moved to price in three interest rate cuts in 2025 from two previously, while bond yields fell. At the same time, the US Federal Reserve cut US interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.50%, which is in line with expectations.
However, there was a shift in interest rate expectations by committee members, with the median expectation being that there would be only two interest rate cuts for 2025 compared to four cuts in the previous update from September. Also, US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell indicated that a slower pace of interest rate cuts is justified given slightly stronger growth and some disappointing inflation data.
Overall, the stronger dollar is likely to continue to hinder the GBP/USD currency pair from making gains.
Trading Tips:
Any attempts to rebound the GBP/USD price break is an important support level. We have often noted that the pressures will intensify after it, which is the 1.25 level. Selling pressures will remain as long as the currency pair is stable below it.
Technical Analysis for the GBP/USD pair today:
As we previously predicted, the movement of the GBP/USD pair below the support level of 1.2500 will increase the dominance of the bears and confirm the strength of the downward trend. The Relative Strength Index has the opportunity to move down before reaching oversold levels. as well as the MACD, which confirms that the bears are ready for further downward movement, and the next important support levels may be 1.2475, 1.2330, and 1.2300, respectively. Conversely, and on the same time frame, the daily chart will not have a primary break of the downward trend without moving above the resistance of 1.2800 again.
Furthermore, it should be taken into account that this week includes Christmas holidays and liquidity often decreases during these holidays and investor interest in trading decreases, so movements may be calm and unstable.
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