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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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【XM Market Analysis】--USD/ZAR Analysis: Climb to Start the Day as Volume Set to Increase
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Analysis】--USD/ZAR Analysis: Climb to Start the Day as Volume Set to Increase". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
The USD/ZAR has seen a slight increase early this morning as financial institutions get set to welcome full Forex volume once again after the U.S holiday effectively quieted the market
- The USD/ZAR is near the 18.13100 ratio as of this writing with a wide spread being displayed.
- The currency pair has seen some upwards mobility early this morning, this after the currency pair closed around the 18.0600 level on Friday and actually started today with a quick sell off below the 18.00000 mark.
- The return of full volume to Forex today is likely to test short-term positions that retail traders may be pursuing with waves of volatility. Quick hitting reversals may hold the key.
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In the absence of large U.S institutional trading starting late on Wednesday and into Friday as the Thanksgiving holiday was being celebrated, the USD lost some strength across Forex, including in the USD/ZAR. The high for the USD last Thursday approached the 18.26500 vicinity and then began to incrementally selloff. This morning’s early lower move and then reversal higher has seen the USD/ZAR stay within its known near-term price range.
Table Set for Short-Term Equilibrium Battle in the USD/ZAR
Global financial institutions which have been nervous the past two months in Forex making USD centric strength a theme, managed to create some actual weakness for the USD late last week but will now have to deal with the return of American institutions. However, the notion that the USD/ZAR has been lingering in overbought territory may still propel some additional selling sentiment. Equilibrium early this week will be sought, but the existing value band of the USD/ZAR may stay dominant.
The range of the USD/ZAR often is volatile for retail traders based on the simple fact the difference between the bids and asks within the Forex pair are often wide. This morning’s trading has been an example of this as full volume is waited on via large U.S financial institutions and retail speculators are urged to use entry price orders to receive a price fill that meets their expectations. Otherwise, because of the large spread in the USD/ZAR price, traders are bound to find themselves fighting a bad fill and having to wait for momentum to hit their targets which will feel too long and if they are overly leveraged.
Near-Term Sentiment and U.S Jobs Numbers
While full volume developing later today will likely help the USD/ZAR decrease volatility by this time tomorrow, the early effects in the coming hours may cause rapid changes in values which are choppy. The dynamic movement of the USD/ZAR as its tests the known near-term price range may remain a characteristic in the coming days, this as financial institutions await the U.S Non-Farm Employment Change results this coming Friday.
- The outcome of the U.S jobs data is going to affect the sentiment of the Federal Reserve and their monetary policy regarding interest rates.
- The Fed is expected to cut by 0.25 in mid-December.
- A range for the USD/ZAR which may remain consistent today could be from 18.08000 to 18.17000.
USD/ZAR Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 18.14200
Current Support: 18.12100
High Target: 18.17100
Low Target: 18.08100
EURUSD Chart by TradingView
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