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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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【XM Forex】--USD/ILS Analysis: Speculative Wagers as Political Fireworks Threaten
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Forex】--USD/ILS Analysis: Speculative Wagers as Political Fireworks Threaten". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
The USD/ILS has incrementally traded higher this week as financial institutions have started to react to the potential of an escalation in the Middle East conflict once again involving Israel.
The USD/ILS at the time of this writing is near 3.59100 with fast paced changes flashing on trading platforms. The past handful of days has seen the USD/ILS turn in a slight incremental bullish trend. The currency pair was hovering around the 3.54000 vicinity on Thursday, this in the wake of President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu meeting earlier in the last week. Financial institutions however have become nervous again the past couple of days as concern about a resumption of the Middle East conflict escalates.
Day traders looking to wager on behavioral sentiment generated among financial institutions near-term in the USD/ILS will have to be very careful. The heightened rhetoric heard from the White House and Israel will make financial institutions nervous. The 3.60000 level should be watched as a barometer. The USD/ILS has had a significant bearish trend since late October when highs around 3.81000 were occasionally being tested.
Nervous Trading and Fast Reactions
Before a speculator decides to buy the USD/ILS based on the notion that conflict between Israel and Hamas is going to escalate again, they should remember that financial institutions have been dealing with the Middle East situation for a long time. Experienced traders understand that risk premium has already been factored into the USD/ILS via buying the past few days.
If a resumption of the conflict does become a reality, it is likely the USD/ILS will not see as much volatility as some might expect. Resistance will certainly become a question regarding its potential highs, but traders should also anticipate the idea that the USD/ILS is likely to remain within a known range. Timeframes and leverage will become very important for speculators.
Wagering Considerations with the USD/ILS
The near-term is likely to see some tests of resistance and some pushback via reversals today and tomorrow. Saturday looks like it will be a big day regarding the current dialogue between Israel and Hamas. Which means going into the weekend that trading may remain rather tranquil because there will be a lack of clarity.
- Volumes in the USD/ILS typically fall off dramatically on Friday because most Israeli banks are closed.
- Which sets the table for a large reaction this coming Monday when financial institutions will react to the weekend’s news depending on what happens.
- Traders who are conservative should think twice before leaving an open USD/ILS position going into this weekend.
- Simply put if there is quiet, the USD/ILS should remains within its lower price range and stay near 3.60000 and below.
- If it gets louder than the USD/ILS could begin to test levels which could bring the 3.65000 ratio back into play.
- Speculating on the outcome of what is going to happen in Israel over near-term via the USD/ILS is gambling.
USD/ILS Short Term Outlook:
Current Resistance: 3.59980
Current Support: 3.58900
High Target: 3.62300
Low Target: 3.57800
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