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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
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2015最佳外汇交易平台
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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market analysis
【XM Forex】--EUR/USD Forex Signal: Pressured Ahead of US Inflation Data
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Forex】--EUR/USD Forex Signal: Pressured Ahead of US Inflation Data". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Bearish view
- Sell the EUR/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.0250.
- Add a stop-loss at 1.0400.
- Timeline: 1-2 days.
Bullish view
- Set a buy-stop at 1.0330 and a take-profit at 1.0400.
- Add a stop-loss at 1.0250.
The EUR/USD exchange rate retreated as the US released mixed nonfarm payroll (NFP) data on Friday. It retreated to a low of 1.3200, down from this year’s high of 1.0539, as focus now shifts to the upcoming US consumer price index (CPI) data.
US inflation data ahead
The EUR/USD pair retreated after the US released encouraging jobs data. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the economy created 140k jobs in January, down from the 307k it created a month earlier.
The unemployment rate improved from 4.1% to 4.0%, better than the median estimate of 4.1%. More data showed that the average hourly earnings rose by 4.1% on a YoY basis and to 0.5% on a MoM basis.
These numbers came as traders anticipated for the upcoming US inflation data, which will come out later this week. Economists expect the numbers to show that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained at 2.9%, while the core CPI remained at 3.2%.
The US inflation and jobs numbers will help the Federal Reserve when making its next interest rate decision. Economists expect the Fed to maintain interest rates steady at 4.50% in the next few meetings.
The Fed is concerned about inflation, which has remained above the 2% target for a while. Officials also believe that that the economy is strong to withstand higher interest rates for longer.
The EUR/USD pair will react to an upcoming statement by Jerome Powell, the head of the Federal Reserve chair. It will be his first statement after the US nonfarm payroll data.
The EUR/USD pair will also react to a potential statement by Donald Trump about tariffs on European goods.
EUR/USD technical analysis
The EUR/USD exchange rate bounced back to a high of 1.0530 last week and then resumed the downward trend. It retreated to a low of 1.0327 and moved below the 50-day and 25-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA).
The pair has dropped below the key level at 1.0450, its lowest swing in October 2023. Also, the Average True Range (ATR) has dropped to its lowest level in July last year. The ATR is a popular indicator used to show a trend’s strength.
Therefore, the pair will likely continue falling as sellers target the next psychological point at 1.0250. A move above the resistance point at 1.0400 will invalidate the bearish view.
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