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【XM Decision Analysis】--EUR/USD Analysis: Downward Trend Strong
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Decision Analysis】--EUR/USD Analysis: Downward Trend Strong". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- For three consecutive trading sessions, the EUR/USD currency pair has been attempting to rebound upwards, but as we predicted, its gains have remained limited and vulnerable to a rapid collapse.
- It reached the resistance level of 1.0443 before quickly falling back to around 1.0380 at the time of writing this analysis, ready to react to the announcement of the important US jobs report, which naturally affects the future of US Federal Reserve policies.
Factors Affecting EUR/USD Performance in the Coming Days
According to forex market trading, the EUR/USD currency pair continues to be affected by investors' reaction to the potential economic impact of the tariffs imposed by US President Trump. These tariffs, along with the threat of future US tariffs on the European Union, are raising concerns about global growth.
In response to the US tariffs, China imposed its own tariffs on US goods, escalating tensions between the world's two largest economies.
Meanwhile, business activity in the eurozone has returned to growth after two months of contraction. Recently, the European Central Bank cut interest rates and suggested further cuts in March. Overall, there are concerns that US tariffs could cause deflationary pressures, which could prompt the ECB to ease monetary policy further. As a result, investors have lowered their expectations for the ECB’s deposit rate, now expecting it to fall to 1.87% by December.
Trading Tips:
Be careful because the euro’s gains, as we expected, are still limited and will be vulnerable to a rapid collapse as long as the eurozone economy suffers from the consequences of US trade wars and ECB policy
European stock markets may witness a recovery in performance
During today's trading, and through stock trading platforms, European stock markets may see a performance recovery as global stocks continue to recover from recent selloffs sparked by the emergence of the Chinese artificial intelligence company DeepSeek and the tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump. At the same time, investors in Europe will focus on a series of earnings reports from major companies, including AstraZeneca, Carlsberg, L'Oreal, Maersk, and ING.
In addition, the Bank of England will make its monetary policy decision, with expectations of a first rate cut this year. In pre-market trading, Euro Stoxx 50 and Stoxx 600 futures were up 0.5% and 0.6%, respectively.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis Today:
According to the performance on the daily chart, it is noticeable that the EUR/USD's attempts to rebound upwards remain weak, confirming the strength of the bears' control over the trend and thus the readiness to test stronger downward levels. The closest of these will currently be 1.0330, 1.0250, and 1.0180, respectively. From the last and lowest level, technical indicators will move towards oversold levels, increasing expectations of the Euro-Dollar parity. Conversely, on the same timeframe, the first break of the downward trend will require moving above the resistance level of 1.0550 first. The EUR/USD price will remain subject to the reaction to the announcement of US jobs figures tomorrow and the future of US tariffs, which significantly harm the Eurozone and, consequently, the Euro currency.
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