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market analysis
【XM Forex】--Gold Analysis: Technical Indicators Point to Strong Overbought Levels
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Forex】--Gold Analysis: Technical Indicators Point to Strong Overbought Levels". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- Gold prices have gained more than 5% during the first month of 2025, following gains of over 27% for the previous year.
- With spot gold prices breaking the historical psychological resistance level of $2800 per ounce and gaining to a peak of $2817 per ounce, the highest in the history of gold prices, the bullish outlook for gold prices is gaining strong momentum.
- Accordingly, the bullish outlook may change to something beyond the $3000 per ounce peak, which was predicted before Trump took office.
Will gold prices rise in the coming days?
According to recent trading and the views of global gold analysts, the fundamentals are in place for better performance in the coming days. Gold prices exceeding $2800 per ounce, with increasing investor appetite for safe-haven assets amid uncertainty surrounding the impact of tariffs imposed by the new US administration on inflation and economic growth, has strengthened the bullish outlook.
Keep in mind that buying gold bullion is often seen as a hedge against inflation, and rising gold prices indicate expectations that tariffs will be inflationary. According to gold experts, further gains in bullion prices cannot be ruled out in the coming days.
On the monetary policy front, central banks continue to cut interest rates. The European Central Bank announced a fifth 25 basis point cut, bringing the deposit rate to 2.75%. The rate cut comes amid an economic slowdown; however, inflation remains above the European Central Bank's 2.0% target, with core inflation reluctant to decline.
In general, rising inflation and falling growth indicate an emerging inflationary cycle that naturally supports gold.
Trading Tips:
What happened in the gold market recently, we have often noted the possibility of its occurrence as soon as possible. As long as the US administration is determined to implement what threatens economic growth and global inflation
Central Bank Gold Purchases
In 2024, central banks added a total of 1037 tonnes of gold - the second-highest annual purchase in history - following a record high of 1082 tonnes in 2023. Analysts expect demand to continue in 2025. According to gold experts, central bank demand is expected to remain strong with forecast purchases of around 900 metric tonnes in 2025 - driven by persification trends and de-dollarization.
As is known, China is a particularly strong source of demand as it looks to persify its asset base away from foreign bond holdings. Strong demand for gold in China was one of the main narratives in the gold market in 2024. Recent macroeconomic and geopolitical developments suggest that Chinese demand for gold will be stronger in 2025 than we initially thought.
Regarding the expected gold prices in the coming months, Goldman Sachs Research expects a wave of gold bullion purchases to continue amid concerns about US financial sanctions. Also, the growing US sovereign debt burden and expects the price of gold to reach $3000 per ounce in 2025.
Gold Price Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:
The overall trend for gold prices remains strongly upward, and the price breaking the $2800 per ounce level strengthens the bulls' control and signals a new record upward move. the closest to it, according to today's gold analysts' expectations, is the $3000 per ounce peak, the highest in the history of gold prices, and until reaching it, technical indicators have moved towards strong overbought levels, which confirms that any opportunity to sell gold to take profits will be strong. As mentioned before, buying gold from every decline level will remain the best gold trading strategy for a period of time that may not be short.
This week, the gold market will be subject to the performance of the US dollar and the extent of investors’ appetite for risk or not. Furthermore, the interaction with the announcement of the US jobs numbers, which will have a strong and direct reaction to expectations for the future policies of the US Federal Reserve.
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