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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2020 -
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World Finance Magazine 颁赠
World Finance Forex Awards 2019 -
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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2014年首届亚军
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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【XM Market Review】--GBP/USD Analysis: Under Pressure Before BoE
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Review】--GBP/USD Analysis: Under Pressure Before BoE". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- We have often mentioned that this trading week would be important and exciting. As expected, the US dollar has risen strongly against other major currencies after the Federal Reserve cut US interest rates by 25 basis points.
- Moreover, it indicated the end of a series of successive cuts.
- As a result, the price of the pound sterling against the US dollar GBP/USD fell to the support level of 1.2562, the lowest level for the currency pair in 3 weeks, before settling around the level of 1.2606 at the time of writing the analysis and ahead of the important Bank of England announcement later today.
The US Federal Reserve backs away from future rate cuts
The pound-dollar losses deepened after the Federal Reserve “outperformed the hawks” and backed away from its expected US interest rate cuts for 2025. According to the US central bank’s policy statement, one member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) – Beth Hammack – voted to leave US interest rates unchanged. New forecasts from the FOMC showed that officials believe fewer rate cuts are likely in 2025 and 2026.
They now expect only 50 basis points worth of cuts, meaning two cuts, while the September projections showed that cuts would be possible in 2025. As a result, the Federal Reserve is now expected to cut US interest rates two more times in 2026 and only once in 2027, raising the final interest rate to 3.1%. In general, the higher base rate for the Federal Funds rate would support US Treasury yields, which affect commercial interest rates, thereby increasing the attractiveness of US debt-based assets. This would attract foreign capital inflows, boosting the value of the US dollar.
Trading Tips:
The sterling dollar price will remain bearish amid cautious anticipation until the Bank of England announces later today. Decisively, be careful until the reaction to the bank's announcements to determine the closing path for this week.
US Stocks Tumble After Interest Rate Hints
According to stock trading platforms, US stock indices experienced strong selling, with losses exceeding 3%, and US 10-year Treasury yields rose to their highest levels in seven months. Following the reaction to the Fed's announcement and the statements of its chairman, Jerome Powell, the bank cut interest rates as expected, but dashed hopes for more rate cuts in 2025. As a result, the selling of US stocks was the worst after a meeting since the beginning of the pandemic, and the message was clear: the sustained rise and risk in the past two years are suddenly in danger.
Historically, the last time the S&P 500 index experienced such losses on the day of the Fed's decision was on September 17, 2001, when the index fell by about 5%. It fell by 12% on March 16, 2020, a day after the central bank's emergency meeting over the weekend during the pandemic.
Technical Analysis for the GBP/USD pair today:
The overall trend of the GBP/USD pair remains bearish, and if the pound does not receive a strong boost from today's Bank of England announcement. Technically, the bears may find a stronger opportunity for a stronger downward move, and the support level of 1.2487, which the currency pair recorded at the end of last month's trading, may be an easy target, as it is the lowest level for the currency pair since May 2024. Conversely, and on the same time frame, the initial downward trend will not be broken without the currency pair moving above the resistance of 1.0800 again. Finally, we still expect to sell the GBP/USD from every upward level. In addition to the Bank of England's announcement, the GBP/USD will be affected today by the announcement of the US GDP growth reading and the number of weekly jobless claims. This, in addition to the extent of investors' risk appetite.
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