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  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

    Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务经纪商

    FX168于2020年12月颁赠

  • 全球最佳客户服务

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 2019年全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2019年全球最佳市场研究和教育奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳外汇客户服务

    Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018

  • 最佳市场调研与教育

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳交易经纪商

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳外汇服务商

    2017年伦敦财富管理奖

  • Brokers Billboard 2016

    2016最佳本土 客户服务

  • 2016投资与金融博览会

    中东和北非地区(MENA)增长最快的经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 2014博览展销会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 投资金融博览会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴计划

    荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳隔夜利息奖

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳交易稳定性奖项

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非最佳社交交易平台

    荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳代理/代理项目经纪商

    荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴转换计划

    荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠

  • 最佳价值经纪商

    2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 全球十大平台公益评选

    投查查于2024年颁赠

  • 全球最佳外汇经纪商奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最佳交易经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2022年度最受欢迎交易商Top 10

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳差价合约经纪商

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳免息账户

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 2021年最受欢迎交易商

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳代理计划

    2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 全球最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 最受欢迎交易商 Top 10

    FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳零售外汇经纪商

    Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇代理计划

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 全球最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最佳在线差价合约与外汇经纪商

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2020澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2019年成长最快的经纪商

    FOLLOWME交易社区授予

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 亚洲最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 最佳经纪商

    FinTech Age Awards颁发

  • 2019欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2019澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2018年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠

  • Egypt Economic Forum获得MENA地区最佳国际经纪商奖

    荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳执行外汇经纪商

    荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠

  • 2017年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳黄金经纪商

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳外汇经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳本地客户服务

  • 2024年全球最全面外汇交易应用程序奖

    Global Brands Magazine 颁赠

  • 2022年最佳外汇交易平台

    Online Money Awards 2022 颁发

  • 最佳APP奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 国际投资金融博览会

    2015最佳外汇交易平台

  • 2015博览展销会

    2015最佳金融交易平台

  • 2013中东和北非地区第12届外汇秀

    2013最佳创新外汇平台奖

  • 银牌奖项|2020年新冠肺炎(COVID-19)人资计划 - 照常运营类别

    2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠

  • 金融业界 World Finance 100 强

    金融行业的佼佼者

  • 人资管理与开发

    认证最优金牌级别

  • 足球邀请赛

    2014年首届亚军

  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

    Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务经纪商

    FX168于2020年12月颁赠

  • 全球最佳客户服务

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 2019年全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2019年全球最佳市场研究和教育奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳外汇客户服务

    Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018

  • 最佳市场调研与教育

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳交易经纪商

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳外汇服务商

    2017年伦敦财富管理奖

  • Brokers Billboard 2016

    2016最佳本土 客户服务

  • 2016投资与金融博览会

    中东和北非地区(MENA)增长最快的经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 2014博览展销会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 投资金融博览会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴计划

    荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳隔夜利息奖

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳交易稳定性奖项

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非最佳社交交易平台

    荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳代理/代理项目经纪商

    荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴转换计划

    荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠

  • 最佳价值经纪商

    2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 全球十大平台公益评选

    投查查于2024年颁赠

  • 全球最佳外汇经纪商奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最佳交易经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2022年度最受欢迎交易商Top 10

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳差价合约经纪商

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳免息账户

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 2021年最受欢迎交易商

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳代理计划

    2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 全球最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 最受欢迎交易商 Top 10

    FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳零售外汇经纪商

    Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇代理计划

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 全球最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最佳在线差价合约与外汇经纪商

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2020澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2019年成长最快的经纪商

    FOLLOWME交易社区授予

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 亚洲最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 最佳经纪商

    FinTech Age Awards颁发

  • 2019欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2019澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2018年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠

  • Egypt Economic Forum获得MENA地区最佳国际经纪商奖

    荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳执行外汇经纪商

    荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠

  • 2017年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳黄金经纪商

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳外汇经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳本地客户服务

  • 2024年全球最全面外汇交易应用程序奖

    Global Brands Magazine 颁赠

  • 2022年最佳外汇交易平台

    Online Money Awards 2022 颁发

  • 最佳APP奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 国际投资金融博览会

    2015最佳外汇交易平台

  • 2015博览展销会

    2015最佳金融交易平台

  • 2013中东和北非地区第12届外汇秀

    2013最佳创新外汇平台奖

  • 银牌奖项|2020年新冠肺炎(COVID-19)人资计划 - 照常运营类别

    2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠

  • 金融业界 World Finance 100 强

    金融行业的佼佼者

  • 人资管理与开发

    认证最优金牌级别

  • 足球邀请赛

    2014年首届亚军

  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

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【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures

Risk Warning:

The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.

Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

Fundamental Analysis & Market Sentiment

I wrote on 8th December that the best trade opportunities for the week were likely to be:

  • Long Bitcoin in USD terms. This rose by 1.07%.
  • Short of the EUR/USD currency pair. This fell by 0.65%.
  • Long of the NASDAQ 100 Index. This rose by 0.96%.
  • Long of the S&P 500 Index. This fell by 0.52%.
  • Long of the DAX Index. This fell by 0.27%.

The weekly gain of 1.91% equals 0.38% per asset.

Last week’s key takeaways were:

  • US CPI (inflation) – the annualized rate rose from 2.6% to 2.7% as expected.
  • US PPI – this was higher than expected, rising on a 0.2% increase the previous month to 0.4% this month, suggesting inflationary pressures remain. Both these top two items helped to strengthen the US Dollar.
  • European Central Bank Main Refinancing Rate & Monetary Policy Statement - a rate cut of 0.25% was given as expected. The Bank also took a minor dovish tilt on the inflation outlook which helped to weaken the Euro.
  • Reserve Bank of Australia Cash Rate & Rate Statement – the Bank held its Cash Rate steady at 4.35% as expected, but the Bank took a minor dovish tilt by suggesting cuts were on their way in 2025, which helped to weaken the Aussie, although it remains stronger than the New Zealand Dollar with which it is usually strongly correlated.
  • Bank of Canada Overnight Rate & Rate Statement – a rate cut of 0.50% was implemented as expected, which helped send the Canadian Dollar lower to a 4-year low against the US Dollar.
  • Swiss National Bank Policy Rate & Monetary Policy Assessment - a rate cut of 0.25% was implemented as expected.
  • UK GDP – showed a contraction of 0.1% for the second consecutive month, raising fears of a recession in the UK which would surely require serious rate cuts.
  • US Unemployment Claims – this came in slightly higher than expected.
  • Australian Unemployment Rate – this was notably better than expected, falling to 3.9% when 4.2% was expected.

    Another noteworthy item are remarks coming from a Bank of Japan official in suggesting that the Bank may pass on a rate hike at its next policy meeting. This could cause considerable weakness in the Japanese Yen.

    Last week basically saw a continuation of the ongoing trend theme of a strong US Dollar and stock market, with the tech-based NASDAQ 100 Index rising to reach a new all-time high. It is not a simple “risk on” scenario, the boom is especially centered on US assets.

    Last week also saw rate cuts from three major central banks, despite the stickiness of US inflation. Also, the US inflation data came in as expected, and the data triggered a firm rise in US stocWWW.xm-forex.comk markets.

    The Week Ahead: 16th – 20th December

    The coming week has a big schedule with some of the biggest items in the Forex market: a US Fed policy meeting expected to bring a rate cut, and two other central bank policy meetings, although neither is expected to produce a rate cut. This means it will likely be another important week, as it is effectively the last trading week before Christmas when many people will be away from the markets for two weeks or so.

    The coming week’s important data points are:

  • US Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Statement & Economic Projections – a rate cut of 0.25% is expected by almost everyone.
  • US Core PCE Price Index – this is the Fed’s preferred inflation indicator, so it can be impactful.
  • US Final GDP – annualized economic growth is expected to remain steady at 2.8%^.
  • Bank of Japan Policy Rate and Monetary Policy Statement – no rate hike is expected.
  • Bank of England Official Bank Rate, Votes, and Monetary Policy Summary
  • US, German, British, French Flash Services & Manufacturing PMI.
  • US Retail Sales
  • UK CPI (inflation)
  • Canadian CPI (inflation)
  • UK Retail Sales
  • Canadian Retail Sales
  • New Zealand GDP
  • US Unemployment Claims
  • UK Unemployment Claims (Claimant Count Change)

    Monthly Forecast December 2024

    【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures(图1)

    For the month of December, I forecasted that the EUR/USD currency pair would fall in value. The performance of my forecast so far is:

    【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures(图2)

    Weekly Forecast 15th December 2024

    Last week, I made no weekly forecast as there were no unusually strong price movements in currency crosses, which is the basis of my trading strategy.

    The US Dollar was again the strongest major currency, while the Japanese Yen was the weakest. Volatility fell slightly last week, with only 41% of the most important Forex currency pairs and crosses changing in value by more than 1%.

    You can trade these forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account.

    Key Support/Resistance Levels for Popular Pairs

    【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures(图3)

    Technical Analysis

    US Dollar Index

    Last week, the US Dollar Index printed a bullish candlestick that continued in the direction of the long-term bullish trend. The recent price action also seems to have retested the upper trend line of the formerly dominant consolidating triangle chart pattern, which can be seen in the price chart below. The price is above its price from three and six months ago, suggesting a healthy long-term bullish trend in the greenback that should be exploitable.

    I have plenty of fundamental reasons to be bullish on the US Dollar. However, the upside over the coming week might be limited, so long-term trades long of the USD might be more successful than short-term trades. However, the price action is definitely more bullish than it was last week, and I think we will see another week of gains by the greenback this week.

    We will be getting highly important US Core PCE Price Index data and FOMC data on the US economy this week, so technical factors might not be very important, with price action over the second half of this week likely to be more data driven.

    【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures(图4)

    Bitcoin

    Bitcoin has continued to chop around the $100,000 level over the past week, printing a bullish inside candlestick which failed to make a new record high. Although it can be argued that there are signs that the momentum has stalled or slowed, the price action remains bullish and a breakout over the coming week looks more likely than a significant bearish breakdown to happen.

    The strong long-term bullish trend is something worth paying attention to, and it has been given a tailwind by the Republican victory in the recent US elections. The price chart below shows a spectacular long-term bullish trend which has been ongoing for the past two years.

    To exploit the bullish breakout which I expect to happen in the safest way possible, I would wait for a new record daily high closing price before entering a new long trade, above $103,647.

    【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures(图5)

    EUR/USD

    The EUR/USD currency pair is in a valid long-term bearish trend. This currency pair typically takes its time to move, with its trends usually including plenty of deep retracements, but for almost three weeks after plunging to a new long-term low price well below $1.0400, the price consolidated without turning definitively bearish.

    The Dollar is relatively strong, while the Euro has been weakened a bit lately by the more dovish approach the European Central Bank took at its policy meeting last week.

    This currency pair often has very reliable trends, which is why I am interested in being short, but the price action off the lows over recent weeks has been too bullish for my liking, and we are still some way off the lowest daily close at $1.0414. So, I would wait for a New York close above that price before entering a new short trade here.

    【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures(图6)

    NZD/USD

    Last week, the NZD/USD currency pair printed a large, strongly bearish candlestick, closing right on its low. It closed at a 2-year low, which is a significant bearish breakdown in any asset.

    The Australian Dollar has got a lot of attention lately as it weakened to new long-term lows as the RBA passed on a rate cut, but it is worth noting that the New Zealand Dollar is also very weak, but even more so, making the Kiwi attractive on the short side.

    The Kiwi was weakened by last week’s 0.50% strong rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, although it was widely expected.

    This currency pair does not trend very reliably, so I don’t take long-term trades in it, but it certainly looks very weak right now.

    【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures(图7)

    USD/CAD

    Last week, the USD/CAD currency pair printed a bullish candlestick, closing not far from its high although it had some upper wick. It closed at a 4-year high, which is a significant bullish breakdown in any asset. The price action is bullish, no question about that.

    The Loonie was weakened by last week’s 0.50% strong rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, although this was widely expected.

    This currency pair does not trend very reliably, so I don’t take long-term trades in it, but it certainly looks very strong right now.

    The main commodity currencies (CAD, NZD, AUD) are all weak, so it might be that they are best traded as a short basket over the coming week against a stronger currency.

    【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures(图8)

    NASDAQ 100 Index

    Last week saw the NASDAQ 100 Index print another bullish candlestick to reach and close at a new record high for the second week running. The price closed not far from its high, although the candlestick was small and slightly doji-like, which suggests the trend may be running out of steam. More evidence in that direction is shown by narrowing of the linear regression analysis within the price chart below. However, when the price of a major stock market index is trading in blue sky, that is a bullish sign that must be paid attention to.

    US stock markets are leading global equities, which is nothing unusual, boosted by President Trump’s reputation as doing anything to generate economic growth and stock market growth, as well as his recent announcement of his intention to put strong tariffs on imports from Mexico and China.

    Maybe more importantly, the US stock market has been in a strong bullish trend for over one year now, so there is plenty of momentum supporting last week’s bullish move.

    I see the NASDAQ 100 Index as a buy.

    【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures(图9)

    Cocoa Futures

    Cocoa futures have been rising powerfully over the past five weeks, especially over the past week which printed a very large, strong, bullish candlestick.

    Trading commodities long when they break to new 6-month high prices, especially when there is powerful momentum as there is here, has historically been a very profitable trading strategy, so there are plenty of good reasons to be long here.

    During the second half of 2023 and the early months of 2024, the price increased by almost 600%, which is a meteoric rise. This happening so recently suggests that it could happen again, giving even more reason to be long here.

    Cocoa is a superfood and is becoming better known for its health-giving properties when used in moderation. This is another factor which is giving the price a tailwind.

    I see Cocoa as a buy, but I point out that Cocoa futures are very big, worth approximately $100,000 which is a dangerously large position size for most retail traders. Trading Cocoa CFDs can be dangerous over the long term as overnight swaps will usually be very high. Therefore, I urge retail traders to look into Cocoa ETFs or ETCs such as COCO which own cocoa futures but can be purchased for only a few US Dollars per share.

    【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures(图10)

    Bottom Line

    I see the best trading opportunities this week as

    • Long Bitcoin in USD terms following a daily (New York) close above $103,647.
    • Short of the EUR/USD currency pair following a daily (New York) close below $1.0414.
    • Long of the NASDAQ 100 Index.
    • Long of Cocoa futures or a Cocoa ETF/ETC.

    The above content is all about "【XM Market Analysis】--Weekly Forex Forecast – Bitcoin, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, NASDAQ 100 Index, Cocoa Futures", which is carefully compiled and edited by XM Forex editor. I hope it will be helpful for your trading! Thank you for your support!

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