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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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【XM Market Analysis】--Gold Analysis: Surges Beyond $2,700 on Rate Cut Bets
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Analysis】--Gold Analysis: Surges Beyond $2,700 on Rate Cut Bets". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
- For three consecutive trading sessions, gold prices are moving higher with gains extending to the resistance level of $2721 per ounce, which is closest to its highest level in about a month.
- The announcement of US inflation figures, as expected, which continues to support expectations for a reduction in US interest rates, has allowed bulls to advance spot gold prices higher.
- In addition, the gold market received an additional positive boost with the People's Bank of China resuming gold purchases after a six-month halt and pledging to change its monetary policy stance to be more accommodative in the coming year.
Rise in US Treasury Yields
After the announcement of the results of the economic calendar data, which showed US inflation rates as expected, US Treasury yields rose, and at the same time, traders strengthened their bets on a US interest rate cut at next week's meeting. According to the trading, the yields on US two-year bonds, which are the most sensitive to the central bank's policies, reversed previous increases to decline by up to five basis points to 4.10%. Overall, markets have priced in about 22 basis points of easing at this month’s Fed meeting, compared to about 20 basis points before the report. Markets are 90 percent expecting the Fed to cut US interest rates by a quarter point.
With growing expectations of a reduction in US interest rates, a wave of buyers was seen in futures contracts for Federal Reserve funds for January and February - a move that means some increased bets on a final cut by the Fed as 2025 begins.
Trading Tips:
Dear TradersUp follower, the gold bullish trend is strengthening as we expected, with the psychological resistance of $2,700 being broken. Gold is on track for a weekly close and has risen more than 30 percent throughout 2024, and is on track for its best yearly performance since 2010.
Will gold prices rise in the coming months?
In this regard, Heraeus Precious Metals expects that spot gold prices may continue to rise until 2025, with the continued reduction of interest rates by major global central banks and the possibility of a decline in the dollar, which will boost demand for safe assets. Accordingly, the company expects gold prices to range between $2,450 and $2,950 per ounce in 2025, affected by continued purchases by major central banks, albeit in smaller quantities than in 2024, and geopolitical risks in Ukraine and the Middle East.
As is known, gold, which is often used as a safe store of value during times of political and financial uncertainty, tends to rise on the back of expectations of lower interest rates, which reduces the alternative cost of holding non-yielding assets. The company added in its forecast statement: “If the economic stimulus measures taken by the Chinese government boost the economy, China and India may provide a strong basis for demand for gold in 2025.”
Gold Price Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:
Gold price gains throughout 2024 have exceeded 30%. According to today's gold analysts, the overall trend of the gold price index will remain upward, and technical indicators still have room to move higher before reaching overbought levels, led by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD. Currently, the closest resistance levels for the gold price trend are $2,732 and $2,755, and with the last level, expectations will return to the historical peak of $2,800 per ounce again. I still recommend buying gold from every dip without taking risks as a trading strategy.
The gold market will remain subject to the performance of the US dollar and the extent to which investors are willing to take risks, as well as the future of central bank monetary policies and figures for gold purchases, as happened with China recently.
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