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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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COLWMA 2024年颁赠
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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认证最优金牌级别
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market analysis
【XM Market Analysis】--EUR/USD Forex Signal: Remains on Edge, With a Bearish Breakdown Likely
Risk Warning:
The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.
Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Market Analysis】--EUR/USD Forex Signal: Remains on Edge, With a Bearish Breakdown Likely". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Bearish View
- Sell the EUR/USD pair and set a take-profit at 1.0400.
- Add a stop-loss at 1.0650.
- Timeline: 1-2 days.
Bullish View
- Set a buy-stop at 1.0535 and a take-profit at 1.0650.
- Add a stop-loss at 1.0400.
The EUR/USD pair held steady in the overnight session as focus remained on the US labor market and next week’s European Central Bank (ECB) decision. It was trading at 1.0527, almost 2% above the lowest level last month.
US Jobs and ECB Decision
The EUR/USD pair wavered after the strong US job vacancies data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The data revealed that the economy had over 7.44 million job vacancies in October, higher than the median estimate of 7.51 million.
This report came a few days before the bureau prepares to deliver the November jobs numbers. Analysts expect these numbers to reveal that the economy created over 202k jobs in November, a big increase from the 12k it added a month earlier. October’s numbers were affected by the recent hurricanes and a strike by Boeing.
The next key EUR/USD data to watch will be the upcoming services and composite PMI date from Europe. In Germany, the two numbers are expected to come in at 49.4 and 47.3, respectively, meaning that the economy remains in a contraction mode.
In Europe, the two numbers are expected to come in at 49.2 and 48.1. A PMI reading of less than 50 is a sign that a sector is not growing.
Therefore, analysts believe that the European Central Bank (ECB) may decide to continue cutting interest rates in the next meeting, which is scheduled on December 12. In a statement on Tuesday, Robert Holzmann, a member of the bank’s governing council, said that any cut next week will be gradual as inflation has moved in the right direction.
In a separate statement, Martin Kazaks, the head of the Latvia central bank, said that the bank should deliberate on a higher interest rate cut to support an economy that is still ailing.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
The EUR/USD exchange rate has been in a strong downward trend in the past few weeks. It has dropped from the year-to-date high of 1.1215 to 1.0525.
The pair has formed a death cross pattern as the 50-day and 200-day moving averages crossed each other. It has also formed a break and retest pattern as the pair retested the key resistance level at 1.0598, its lowest level on April 21.
Therefore, the pair will likely continue falling as sellers target the next key support at 1.0400. A break above the key resistance level at 1.060 will invalidate the bullish view.
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