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11.27 Latest market trend analysis of gold and crude oil and today’s exclusive long and short operation suggested layout
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Platform]: 11.27 latest market trend analysis of gold and crude oil and today's exclusive long and short operation suggested layout". Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
Only those who help themselves can help others. What is difficult is not making profits every day, but how to deal with adversity. People's will will be shaken with the passage of time and the influence of objective things. In good times, you must be internalized. Only those who know themselves can be wise and move to a higher point. In times of adversity, it is even more important to seek inwardly. Only by strengthening ourselves can we defeat the enemy! All external roots originate from our inner being! We cannot change the uncertainty of objective things, but we can only follow them from beginning to end. Only by following the laws of things can we go further! And the so-called laws are actually fait accompli in historical data! Human nature is difficult, so history will repeat itself! Just like spring, summer, autumn and winter, the cycle of four seasons, birth, old age, sickness and death, joy, anger, sorrow and joy! The same is true for the market! Because the market The essence of the market is the game of human nature!
Analysis of the latest gold market trends:
Analysis of gold news: During the European trading session on Wednesday, gold continued its rebound momentum and once again approached the key level of US$4,170 per ounce. The gains xm-forex.come on the heels of sharp two-way swings in markets on Tuesday, driven by a xm-forex.combination of weak U.S. macroeconomic data and a further dovish policy stance from the Federal Reserve. Data released on Tuesday showed that the U.S. producer price index (PPI) rose 2.7% year-on-year in September, slightly higher than the previous value but basically in line with expectations; while the core PPI excluding food and energy rose 2.9% year-on-year, exceeding expectations. The current trend of gold is in the tug of war between "macro favorable conditions" and "rising risk appetite". Although the geopolitical easing and the rebound in risk assets have suppressed traditional safe-haven capital inflows, the certainty of the Fed's shift to easing is reshaping the logic of asset pricing. With real interest rates expected to fall and the U.S. dollar weakening, gold, as a hedge against currency depreciation and policy uncertainty, has attractedGravity increases significantly. In the short term, as long as the support of $4,030 does not break, bulls will still take the initiative. We should pay close attention to the upcoming data on durable goods orders, initial jobless claims, Chicago PMI, and speeches by FOMC members. These factors will determine whether gold prices can successfully break through $4,200 and start a new round of upward trend.
Gold technical analysis: The technical aspect returns to the structure of gold's daily chart. Gold is currently back above the moving average. Regardless of the reason for the rise, being above the moving average for two consecutive days is enough to show that bulls currently have bullish confidence, but it may not be very strong. In the short term, the upward trend may continue to rise, and the upper side may pay attention to the pressure around 4200-10 at the upper edge of the daily level range. However, before that, the daily level level also tends to form a triangular range, and there will also be short-term resistance near the upper edge of the triangular range at 4170/80. In addition, considering that the U.S. market will be closed for Thanksgiving in the second half of the week, market activity will not be very high. Therefore, it is appropriate for gold to choose range fluctuations at present, but it may not be very friendly to operations. Special time periods can easily induce a high degree of market control, leading to the risk of abnormal market fluctuations.
Based on the one-hour chart trend of gold, gold can continue to fluctuate during the day. The lower part still focuses on the test of 4110-00 on the 5th and 10th lines. The upper part will first look at the pressure in the 4170-80 area. As for the possibility of testing 4200, then It needs to be based on the dual basis of technology and fundamentals, that is, it has stayed above the moving average in the second half of the week, and if the fundamentals can provide positive catalysts, then gold may also sprint around 4200 in the second half of the week, but in the second half of the week, we need to pay more attention to the uncertain risks caused by holiday factors. On the whole, today's short-term gold operation thinking, He Bosheng recommends to focus on callbacks to do longs, supplemented by rebounds to go shorts. In the short term at the top, focus on the first-line resistance of 4165-4185, and in the short term at the bottom, focus on the first-line support of 4120-4100.
Analysis of the latest crude oil market trend:
Crude oil news analysis: During the Asian trading session on Wednesday, international crude oil prices continued to hover near the low in the past month, trading around US$58.07 per barrel. One of the key factors driving this trend is the positive signals in the peace negotiations in Ukraine, which has triggered market speculation that the West may relax restrictions on Russian crude oil exports. At the same time, global crude oil inventory levels remain at high levels, further inhibiting the room for a rebound in oil prices. Behind this market fluctuation is the recent intensive diplomatic actions. U.S. President Trump said that there are "only a few points of disagreement left" in the current Ukraine negotiations and has dispatched senior representatives to launch a new round of consultations with both parties to the conflict, suggesting that the peace process may usher in a critical turning point. The current trend of oil prices has shifted from pure supply and demand logic to being highly sensitive to geopolitical variables. If the situation in Ukraine is as close to an agreement as Trump says, it will not only reshape the European security landscape, but may also quickly change the path of global energy flows. However, in the context of the slowdown in global economic growth and the accelerated penetration of alternative energy, even if Russian crude oilA large amount of backflow may not be fully digested by the market. In the short term, oil prices lack strong upward momentum, and we should be wary of downside risks under the dual pressure of loose supply and macroeconomic weakness.
Crude oil technical analysis: From the daily chart level, and from the local level, the current oscillation rhythm of crude oil is a minor one, with the K line closing 3 negative lines in a row and testing towards the early low of 56. The MACD indicator formed a dead cross near the zero axis, and the short momentum showed signs of gradually increasing. If the 56 strong support level is broken, the crude oil trend will enter a downward rhythm in the mid-term. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil has once again tested downward near 57.00. Oil prices have repeatedly crossed the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction has returned to a volatile rhythm. The subjective direction has no clear main trend direction due to frequent alternation of kinetic energy. At present, the long and short kinetic energy is at a stalemate, and crude oil is expected to maintain a range-bound pattern during the day. On the whole, today's crude oil operation thinking is based on He Bosheng's suggestion to mainly rebound from high altitudes, supplemented by falling back to lows. The top short-term focus is on the 59.5-60.5 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 57.0-56.0 first-line support.
This article is exclusively planned by He Bosheng, a gold and crude oil analyst. Due to the delay of network push, the above content is personal advice. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, the suggestions in this article are for learning reference only. You should operate at your own risk. Regardless of whether the views and strategies of the article agree with others, you can xm-forex.come to me to discuss and learn together! Nothing is difficult in the world, as long as there are people who are willing. Investment itself carries risks. I remind everyone to look for authoritative platforms and powerful teachers. Fund safety xm-forex.comes first, secondly consider operational risks, and finally how to make profits.
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