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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: The U.S. dollar index shows an inverted V trend, and the British fiscal buffer space exceeds market expectations." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
On November 27, in early Asian trading on Thursday, Beijing time, the U.S. dollar index was hovering around 99.50. On Wednesday, the U.S. dollar index showed an inverted V trend, once approaching the 100 mark during the session, but then turned sharply downward, and finally closed down 0.237% at 99.57; U.S. bond yields were mixed, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. bond yield closing at 3.997%, and the 2-year U.S. bond yield, which is sensitive to the Federal Reserve's policy interest rate, closed at 3.483%. As the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at next month's meeting further increased, spot gold rose, hitting another new high in more than a week, and finally closed up 0.8% at US$4,163.76 per ounce; spot silver rose even more significantly, and finally closed up 3.63% at US$53.36 per ounce. International crude oil followed risk assets higher and rebounded slightly from the one-month low hit on the previous trading day. The market showed the typical characteristics of thin trading volume before the Thanksgiving holiday. WTI crude oil fluctuated higher and finally closed up 0.67% at US$58.48/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed up 0.71% at US$62.41/barrel.
Analysis of major currency trends
U.S. dollar index: As of press time, the U.S. dollar is hovering around 99.50. Affected by multiple factors on Wednesday, it showed a trend of downward pressure and multiple resistances. At the same time, the sudden congestion of short positions in the market hid the risk of a rapid rebound. Technically, if the U.S. Dollar Index falls below the 99.50 level, it will move towards the nearest support, which is located in the 98.85 to 99.00 range.



Gold and crude oil market trend analysis
1) Gold market trend analysis
In the Asian market on Thursday, gold hovered around 4158.80. It rose more than 0.80%, driven by falling U.S. Treasury yields and a weaker dollar. Despite strong U.S. economic data, the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates remains high. Gold rose on Wednesday after data from the U.S. Labor Department showed the number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits fell from last week to the lowest level since mid-April. The U.S. Census Bureau revealed that durable goods orders in September were higher than expected, but were down from August's data.

2) Crude oil market trend analysis
On Thursday in Asian trading, crude oil was trading around 58.38. Oil prices continued their decline on Tuesday as Ukraine signaled that it might accept the peace agreement framework proposed by the United States, sparking concerns about the end of the Russia-Ukraine war and the subsequent return of Russian oil supplies to the market. The subsequent progress of the Russia-Ukraine peace agreement will become a core variable in the crude oil market, and the timing of finalizing and signing the details of the agreement may trigger violent fluctuations in oil prices. At the same time, the subsequent impact of the U.S. government shutdown, the release of more economic data, and changes in the labor market will continue to affect demand expectations. On the supply side, OPEC+'s adjustment to its production reduction policy, changes in output from non-OPEC oil-producing countries, and the specific pace of Russian oil's return to the market are all clues that need to be tracked.

Foreign exchange market transaction reminder on November 27, 2025
①10:00 The State Council Information Office held a regular briefing on the policies of the State Council
②15:00 Germany December Gfk Consumer Confidence Index
③15:00 Ministry of xm-forex.commerce holds a regular press conference
④18:00 Euro Zone November Industrial Sentiment Index
⑤18:00 Euro District November Economic Sentiment Index
⑥20:30 The European Central Bank releases the minutes of the October monetary policy meeting
⑦21:30 Canada's third quarter current account
The above content is about "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: The U.S. dollar index shows an inverted V trend, and the British fiscal buffer space exceeds market expectations." It is carefully xm-forex.compiled and edited by the XM foreign exchange editor. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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