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Announcement of interest rate cuts tonight, and the facts that can be sold back to test is the time to get on the market
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Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Analysis]: Announcement of interest rate cuts tonight, and the facts that can be sold backtested is the time to get on the band." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
Zheng's silver spot: Announcement of interest rate cuts tonight, and the facts that can be sold is the time to get on the band.
Review yesterday's market trend and technical points:
First, in terms of gold: Yesterday morning, relying on the sideways support of 3674 to continue to be bullish, and at the same time, 3680 first tried part of the bullishness, and finally reached the 3695 target; while the European session continued to rise and rose, Then the US market has a second upward trend. With the help of data, it attracted short positions and reached 3686 to stabilize and continue to bullish, reaching the 3702 target; there was a surge and fallback around the early morning, which is relatively normal, because every impact on the resistance of an integer mark will puncture and cause a fall. For the first time, it is impossible to break through the station directly. With the indicator divergence, patience and wait until it touches the mid-track of the hourly line puncture and pull up the long lower shadow K stabilizes, and then continue to give 3684 bullish, reaching 3695 today. ;
Second, silver: Yesterday morning, a big negative fell sharply. After piercing the middle track of the hourly line, the positive will xm-forex.come out in the next hour and return to the middle track. I still think that the sharp drop in the morning is difficult to continue. After stabilizing, 42.5 will continue to be bullish, and finally reach the target of approaching the 43 line. Because the US market has too little force to pull back before 22 points, it will directly pull up the 42.95-43 line again, and there will be no chance; there will be a wave of highs and falls around the early morning , at the lowest level of 42.25, it is steadily rising slowly before the closing;
Today's market analysis and interpretation:
First, gold daily line level: It continued to rise strongly yesterday, and finally broke through the 3700 mark. In the early stage, the medium and long-term bottom positions such as 2735, 2753, 3000, 3247, 3281, 3528 have been holding the bullish position, firmly believed that the bull trend this year cannot be changed, and it will only be higher and higher, and the lowest holdThe position is 2735, from the historical high, almost 1,000 meters away, and the profit in this wave of profit is still quite popular; yesterday closed a small positive, piercing 3,700 and not forcibly standing up, which is expected. Every integer threshold will generally not stand firm for the first impact. In addition, interest rate cuts will be announced tonight, and the long profit-taking orders may appear at any time again; for example, today's white market showed a continuous decline, which has fallen by 35 meters, and the market may have to xm-forex.complete expectations in advance or go through most of the space; according to the historical trend law, after the interest rate is lowered, the price will experience a rapid decline in selling facts, and then stabilize and return to the bullish trend. If it falls by 25 points, it may not stabilize that night, and it will last for some time; if it drops by 50 points, the price will first pull up again and then fall down, and finally stabilize that night, and continue to rise and strengthen the next day; but today's trend, The Asian session has risen and fall, and the European session has continued to fall slowly and downward. It is really possible to take the market to go ahead of schedule. After announcing a rate cut tonight, there is no room for decline, and it will directly stabilize and rise. This is worth observing carefully. It is different from previous years. In the face of important data in recent times, the market always likes to play this set of expected paths in advance. Therefore, the current test of the 5 moving average, paying attention to the 10 moving average below 3635 is the key. If you stabilize this moving average, the adjustment space will not be too large. Stabilizing the moving average will continue to move to the unilateral pull-up; if you lose the 10 moving average, you need to see how the continuation is, depending on the closing, and whether the last adjustment low point 3612-13 can stabilize;
Second, gold 4-hour level: the current test mid-track support is supported, and you cannot hold it. You must pay attention to the stabilization of the 66-day moving average tonight;
Third, the golden hourly line level: after a slight rebound in the morning, it surged and fell, lost the middle track, and was sideways in the afternoon but did not hold the top and bottom support of 3679 overnight. The European session has been falling and falling all the way. This strength is obviously beyond the original plan. Before the interest rate cut was announced, it did not fluctuate within a range, so it has to be suspected that the market was expected to move forward in the middle of the night in advance. After the interest rate cut was reached, it should have fallen and fell. If this is true, after the interest rate cut was announced tonight, it may rise directly, or rebound immediately after a brief sharp drop; then xm-forex.combined with the channel distribution in the chart, and 4 hours and 66 days, Looking at the daily 10 moving average and other cycles, pay attention to several support positions tonight. One is the confirmation point of the channel retracement in the chart of 3650-47, one is the 3635 daily 10 moving average, and the other is near the 3626-hour annual moving average, which is also expected to be a 4-hour and 66-day upward move point; after 2 o'clock in the second half of the night, when a signal of stabilization approaches them, try to stabilize and bullish. Once the pull-up force is too large, you can leave the bottom position as a band; if the European market is weak, if there is a wave of pull-up before and after the US market, be cautious to chase the rise to prevent a second suppression, the 3680-hour middle line is under pressure, and the pressure of the 3695 morning drop opening pressure, still follow the trend, at mostIt is possible to consider profit hedging at night to protect bottom position profits;
Silver: Today it has a decline of greater than gold, and the daily negative pierces the 10 moving average support 41.5, so the probability of it moving ahead of schedule is even greater; after an interest rate cut is announced tonight, we will be cautious in chasing the decline, and we will be patient to wait for stability and bullishness, and grab the low band level; refer to several positions, one is the lower rail support of the blue channel in the figure, and the other is the weekly 5 moving average, the daily channel retraces the confirmation point, and the middle rail support, concentrated The range of 40.6-40.2 is just the starting point of each fluctuation and rise last week, and it is not visible to the downward momentum; when they hit them, they continue to try to be bullish. During the unilateral pull-up process, the appearance of negative lines is just a correction, which paves the way for further pulling up in the later period. Tonight's short-term resistance is 42.1, and the decline is 42.6, which is also two;
There is nothing to say about crude oil, mainly watching the show, and it is still fluctuating in range, with a small range of 6. Between 4-61, a large range of 66-60;
The above are several points of the author's technical analysis. As a reference, it is also the summary of the technical experience accumulated by the market watching and reviewing for more than 12 hours a day in the past twelve years. Technical points are disclosed every day, and the interpretation of text and videos are provided. Friends who want to learn can xm-forex.compare and refer to them based on the actual trends; those who recognize ideas can refer to operations, lead defense well, and risk control first; those who do not agree should just be drifted by; thank everyone for their support and attention;
[The views of the article are for reference only. Investment is risky. You must be cautious, rationally operate, strictly set losses, control positions, risk control first, and bear the profit and loss at your own risk]
Contributor: Zheng's Dianyin
After reading and research for more than 12 hours a day, persisting for ten years, detailed technical interpretation is disclosed on the entire network, and serve the whole network with sincerity, sincerity, perseverance and wholeheartedness! xm-forex.comments written on major financial websites! Proficient in the K-line rules, channel rules, time rules, moving average rules, segmentation rules, and top and bottom rules; student cooperation registration hotline - WeChat: zdf289984986
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