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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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2016年最佳黄金经纪商
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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market analysis
Chaos in the Middle East boost risk aversion sentiment, and gold and crude oil surge again
Wonderful Introduction:
The moon has phases, people have joys and sorrows, whether life has changes, the year has four seasons, after the long night, you can see dawn, suffer pain, you can have happiness, endure the cold winter, you don’t need to lie down, and after all the cold plums, you can look forward to the New Year.
Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange]: The chaos in the Middle East boosts risk aversion sentiment, and gold and crude oil have risen sharply again." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
XM: The chaos in the Middle East boosts risk aversion sentiment, and gold and crude oil have risen sharply again.
The chaos in the Middle East is an important factor supporting the rise of gold and crude oil. After Israel takes action against Iran, the entire Israeli territory has entered a state of emergency, and the two sides may have another conflict in the future. The risk factors from the US president’s radical policies have just subsided, and the chaos in the Middle East has filled the gap in this news.
The risk aversion sentiment in the international market suddenly heated up, and gold rose sharply for three consecutive days, with the market price rising from the lowest $3335 to the highest today of 3467, an increase of nearly 4%, approaching the historical high of $3509. Chaos in the Middle East often threaten crude oil supply. U.S. crude oil rose by more than 10% yesterday, reaching a maximum of US$77.62 per barrel, shocking the market.
How long will the rise in gold and crude oil last depends on whether Iran’s reaction is tough or restrained. Judging from past experience, Iran may only respond very restrainedly. According to several provocative Israeli actions against Iran in the past, Iran has counterattacked by "pre-notification" and the counterattack generally does not cause any casualties. For example, the counterattack in Iran in October 2024 basically did not cause any significant losses according to Israel.
If Iran remains restrained during this conflict, the rise in gold and crude oil will be temporary and temporary, with poor durability.
▲XM chart
From the trend structure perspective, at the daily level, gold is in a medium- and long-term bullish trend, and the latest band is rising. May 15Since then, gold's daily K-line has been inside the upward channel and is bound by the upper and lower tracks. The highs on May 23 and June 5 have proved that the upper rail resistance of the channel is effective. In the new round of upward band in the channel, the highest point has approached the upper track, and it is expected that there will be strong selling pressure when it touches the upper track. Considering that this round of gold rise is supported by news, the selling pressure on the upper track may not prevent gold's short-term rise. Focus on the $3500 integer mark, which may become a strong resistance.
▲XM chart
On the trend structure perspective, at the daily level, US crude oil is in a medium- and short-term bullish trend. Before June 6, the daily line of U.S. crude oil was within the oscillating center. Before the news of the chaos in the Middle East was announced, crude oil had already shown signs of breaking through the upper track of the center, indicating that funds close to the source had already entered the market first. Yesterday's positive K-line was too large, and it may have overdrawn the boost effect of the news side, and the latest price was at the 3.382~3.618 quarter of the previous round of decline, which has a technical resistance effect. In the future, oil prices may encounter obstacles and fall.
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