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Bank of Japan remains unmoved, strengthening of the yen makes Japan's deflation problem come back

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Group]: The Bank of Japan remains unchanged, and the strengthening of the yen has caused Japan's deflation problem to make a xm-forex.comeback." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

XM Foreign Exchange APP News - On Wednesday (June 11), the current price of US dollar/JPY fluctuates between 144.9 and 145.2, which is a certain increase xm-forex.compared with the opening, breaking through some short-term resistance, but there is previous pressure around 145.3. Overall, the short-term tendency is long but the overbought signal appears. The pressure on upstream prices in Japan has been greatly alleviated According to data released by the Bank of Japan on Wednesday, the pressure on upstream prices in Japan continues to ease. In May, the price of Japanese corporate xm-forex.commodity (collectives for goods and services) fell 0.2% month-on-month, with year-on-year growth slowing sharply from 4.1% to 3.2%, the smallest year-on-year increase since September 2024 and far lower than economists' expectations of 3.5%. It is worth noting that import prices plummeted 10.3% year-on-year in May, while April data fell 7.3% after being revised, indicating that the rebound of the yen is driving the cost of raw materials. In other words, Japan's "input deflation" again is a dangerous sign for a country facing the problem of getting rid of its deflation mentality after decades of stagnation of prices. Business price trends are usually reflected in the consumer side after several months, especially excluding core indicators of fresh food and energy prices. Therefore, the shift in the deflation trend means that consumer price inflation may be few days when it continues to be above the Bank of Japan's 2% annual target. After the 2025 2025 rate hike data was released, swap traders believe that the Bank of Japan's chances of restarting the tightening cycle by later this year are extremely low, believing that the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 50%, and the probability of raising interest rates in December is two-thirds. Before the U.S.-Japan trade tensions heated up in April, the market had fully priced the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates once this year, and there is a possibility of a second interest rate hike.More sensible. Just as easing upstream price pressures and weak consumer demand may keep the Bank of Japan on the sidelines, sticky inflation pressures in the United States may also lead to Fed officials suspending further rate cuts, although this round has accumulated 100 basis points. US CPI is expected to accelerate the major event that traders are concerned about on Wednesday will be the release of US CPI data in May, especially the report may show the impact of the hike in import tariffs on the consumer side for the first time. The market expects core inflation to rise by 0.27% month-on-month in May, and the year-on-year growth rate will rise slightly from 2.8% to 2.9%. The market will pay close attention to xm-forex.commodity price indicators because this is the first area where tariff pressures appear. Service cost trends will also be closely watched, especially in the details of last Friday’s non-farm employment report, which is not eye-catching except for the main data. As the largest category in the U.S. CPI basket, labor market conditions often have a significant impact on wage pressure and service price trends. Before the inflation report was released, Federal Funds Futures showed that as of the end of 2025, the market only expected a 39 basis point interest rate cut, which means that there may be a one-time interest rate cut, and the probability of a second interest rate cut is 50%. For the USD/JPY, the stronger-than-expected core inflation data could boost the dollar as further cooling expectations for interest rate cuts and vice versa. Treasury auctions may intensify volatility. Although attention may not be as high as CPI data, the U.S. Treasury Department will auction $39 billion of 10-year Treasury bonds on Wednesday, and the demand trend may be reflected in the US dollar trend in the foreign exchange market. For reference, the bid coverage ratio (the ratio of bid volume to issuance) of the last 10-year Treasury bond auction was 2.6 times. Although this data is not as strong as in the past, the correlation between the US dollar/JPY and the 10-year benchmark Treasury bond spread in the past month has begun to strengthen.

The above content is all about "[XM Group]: The Bank of Japan remains unmoved, and the strengthening of the yen makes Japan's deflation problem xm-forex.come back". It was carefully xm-forex.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!

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Bank of Japan remains unmoved, strengthening of the yen makes Japan's deflation problem come back

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

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market news

Bank of Japan remains unmoved, strengthening of the yen makes Japan's deflation problem come back

Related News

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason