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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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market analysis
How does the Australian dollar cope with technical pressure in the context of the counterattack of the US dollar index?
Wonderful introduction:
Let your sorrows be full of worries, and you can't sleep, and you can't sleep. The full moon hangs high, scattered all over the ground. I think that the bright moon will be ruthless, and the wind and frost will fade away for thousands of years, and the passion will fade away easily. If there is love, it should have grown old with the wind. Knowing that the moon is ruthless, why do you repeatedly express your love to the bright moon?
Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Official Website]: How does the Australian dollar cope with technical pressure in the context of the US dollar index counterattack?" Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On Friday (April 25), the Australian dollar fell to around 0.6380, continuing the recent fluctuation and consolidation trend. With the subtle changes in market sentiment and the exchange rate is in a time when technology and fundamentals are tested, the game between bulls and bears is becoming increasingly fierce.
The US dollar index (DXY) regained its upward action after a brief pullback on Thursday, rebounding to around 99.70 and is expected to break through the 100.00 integer mark. The dollar has gained market favor, mainly benefiting from signs of easing in the U.S.-based trade partnerships with other major trading partners.
The market generally expects that improving trade relations will benefit the US economy, considering its strong dependence on imports. U.S. durable goods order data released on Thursday showed a strong economy is gradually recovering. Durable goods orders increased by 9.2% month-on-month in March, far exceeding the market expectations of 2% and the previous value of 0.9%. Against this backdrop, business owners may pass on cost increases to consumers, pushing up inflation levels and limiting the space for the Fed's monetary policy.
Technical analysts interpret:
On the daily chart, the Australian dollar against the US dollar has recently formed a xm-forex.complex technical form. The exchange rate is currently facing resistance and falling back near the 0.6438 resistance level. This volatility model shows that the market is in a clear consolidation stage, and the exchange rate may fluctuate between the 0.6300 support and 0.6438 resistance in the short term.
MACD indicator shows that the DIFF line is 0.0034, the DEA line is 0.0017, the MACD value is 0.0033, and the red column continues to expand, indicating that the short-term momentum is still biased towards the multilateral. However, it is important to be wary that the current price is close to resistance and may face adjustmentspressure. The RSI indicator reads 56.5307, which is in a relatively strong neutral area, but has not reached the overbought level, which provides room for further upward trend for the price.
It is worth noting that the exchange rate had fallen sharply to the low point of 0.5913, and then launched a V-shaped reversal, which has now recovered to the level of 0.6380. From a pattern perspective, the price is trying to break through the downward trend line and form effective support at 0.6320. If we can stand firm, the market in the future is expected to continue to challenge the 0.6400-0.6438 resistance range.
ATR indicator shows that market volatility has increased recently, with the current reading of 0.0092, indicating that the market volatility has expanded, which often indicates that the market may change rapidly.
Prevention of Market Sentiment
Currently, market sentiment is in a cautiously optimistic state. As U.S. durable goods order data is strong, market confidence in the U.S. economy has increased, which supports the dollar. However, the Australian dollar, as a risk currency, has performed strongly in the past two weeks, indicating that global market risk appetite is still increasing. This emotional xm-forex.comparison forms the current AUD/USD consolidation pattern.
From the flow of funds, large institutional investors seem to be reevaluating the value of the Australian dollar. After experiencing the early panic selling, the market has gradually returned to rationality, but no clear consensus has been formed.
Future Outlook
From the bulls' perspective, if the exchange rate can effectively break through the 0.6438 resistance level, it will open upward space to 0.6500, and may even challenge the 0.6600 level. Factors supporting this view include: improved global risk appetite, easing of trade tensions and upward action energy displayed by technical indicators.
From the bearish perspective, if the exchange rate cannot stand firm at the 0.6320 support level, it may fall back to the 0.6250 key support area, and in severe cases, the 0.6087 low will even be tested again. Adverse factors include: strong dollar fundamentals, high interest rate policies that the Federal Reserve may maintain for a long time, and uncertainty in the outlook for global economic growth.
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